| AUTUMN
        2005 - PART 1: The Atlantic switches on! October 15th-25th
 
 
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 Rather unexciting weather has been
        my lot since the end of June, when I had my last decent
        storm to go after. This all came to an end in October,
        when finally the Atlantic cyclones began to make their
        presence felt. Since then there has been an excellent
        mixture of thunderstorms, squalls, hail, all the stuff
        that makes the weather photographer cheer up!
 
 It's been rather busy at the moment. At the time of
        writing (October 28th) we have gone "round the
        clock" on the Tropical Storms/Hurricanes naming
        system, with Tropical Storm Beta (they are having to use
        Greek letters for the first time ever) probably to be
        upgraded to a hurricane soon - the first time that 13
        hurricanes have formed in one tropical storm season and
        there's still a month to go before the end of the season.
        Meanwhile Hurricane Wilma was the deepest one ever
        recorded at an incredible 882Mb eye pressure (982Mb is a
        typical central pressure for one of our cyclones). It
        bombed to a Category 5 from a Tropical storm in little
        more than a day! A lot of records broken, then, in a
        short timespan.
 
 So records fall everywhere and the arguing about climate
        change continues. Trouble is, we have only been recording
        tropical storms for about 150 years, and we've only had
        reconnaissance flights and satellite imagery/data
        available since the second half of the 20th Century. So
        what occurred prior to all of this? We only have
        fragmentary evidence. Interesting stuff, all the same...
 
 Back to here, and on Saturday 15th, despite an almost
        windless anticyclone sat over the UK, the lows were
        brewing up out there in the Atlantic. The first sign of
        such a happening is often the ground-swell, as any
        coastal dweller knows. Ground-swells are generated way
        offshore - like far travelled ripples from the
        disturbance on the pond's surface, they migrate outwards
        from the disturbance, barely noticeable to offshore
        craft. Once they reach shallow water, however, they build
        into a series of long, slow-moving tall waves - hence
        their attraction to surfers.........
 
 
            
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 At Borth, they ran ashore one after another in
                the still and watery sunset....
 
 
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 These are over 2.5m in height.... a tricky job
                using the camera handheld in low light
                conditions, but luckily Borth has timber sea
                defences which have useful flat areas for sitting
                a camera for longer exposures....
 
 
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 ...which create some weird but pleasing effects!
 
 
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 My first storm-intercept since late June was on
                the afternoon of October 19th, again at Borth as
                the radar indicated a group of heavy cells
                heading NE across the Bay. This was the best,
                giving a number of good C-G lightning flashes and
                booming thunder as it headed for the coast north
                of Tywyn....
 
 
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 ...with a developing weak gust-front ahead of the
                advancing precipitation, here seen sideways-on...
 
 
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 ...plus of course a large, fluffy Cumulonimbus
                anvil...
 
 
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 Great
                thing about Borth is the way the wet sand
                reflects the sky...
 
 
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 Especially as the sun starts to set!
 
 
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 Here's a
                quick diversion before going on to the next
                sequence of events. This, taken on Saturday 22nd,
                shows instability being released in the lower
                levels of the atmosphere, resulting in thin,
                towering cumulus clouds. However they're only
                going up so far before spreading out downwind
                (wind being R-L). This suggests two things at
                work- firstly a mid-level inversion (or cap)
                stopping them from going up any further and
                secondly a layer aloft in which stronger winds
                exist (it's pretty usual to see windspeed
                increase with height). Thus they're bubbling up,
                meeting the cap, and spreading out downwind from
                that.
 
 
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                | The following
                week started with weather warnings issued for
                many areas for heavy rain and ended with the
                warmest October 27th since records began in the
                bag! Monday 24th saw a substantial low-pressure
                system anchored to our NW and a trailing front
                reaching way down towards the Tropics, with a
                moisture-laden warm S to SW airflow being set up
                over the UK (the so-called Warm Conveyor). In
                such setups, as the air comes in off the sea and
                is forced up over the mountains, often
                drastically enhanced rainfall results (the
                technical term is orographic enhancement). The
                result is enormous amounts of water flowing down
                the mountain catchments and causing flooding
                along the major river valleys.....
 
 
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 On the morning of the 24th
                flood warnings were out for four rivers in Wales
                including the Dyfi here and the Mawddach/Wnion
                further north. It was difficult to get a decent
                shot of the Dyfi (above) in flood (pouring rain
                didn't help!) so I headed northwards, into Coed y
                Brenin, where the Mawddach flows...
 
 
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 This is at the top of Rhaidr Mawddach - where the
                river drops several tens of feet over an
                intrusive igneous sill consisting of the hard
                rock, microtonalite - you couldn't safely get to
                the bottom of the falls as that area was
                underwater! For scale, the river here is 25ft+
                across!
 
 
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 There are two waterfalls of note here, one on the
                Mawddach and one on its major tributory, Afon
                Gain, with the remains of the old Gwynfynydd gold
                mill in between. The rivers join below the ruined
                mill. Pistyll Gain is a bigger fall than Rhaidr
                Mawddach: in this image it is seen from the main
                footpath, but I decided to get a little
                closer....
 
 
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 ...but this is as close as was safe. A slip into
                the river below would have spelled the immediate
                end of me, so in clouds of swirling spray I
                stopped here and attempted a few shots, having to
                dry out the lens in between. This is the best of
                them! The noise was literally thunderous! A great
                morning out in rough conditions!
 
 
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                | The following day, Tuesday 25th, had for some
                time been expected to deliver some thunderstorms
                in the unstable post-frontal airmass. A pore over
                the charts the night before led rapidly to the
                conclusion that an early start would be essential
                for anyone wanting to see much in this part of
                Wales, so I was off to bed early that evening. I
                rose at 0400, drank black coffee, checked all the
                forecast data, checked the camera really had
                dried out properly, confirmed on rainfall
                radar/infrared satellite/lightning plotters that
                something was indeed heading this way, drank more
                black coffee and so on. The plan was to keep
                observing online then head down to Borth at 0700,
                when signs of daybreak ought to become apparent.
 
 At just after 0600 I caught a flash in the corner
                of my eye through a side window and moments later
                a boom of thunder rolled through the valley.
                Hastily powering down the computer whilst
                simultaneously yanking the modem cable from the
                phone socket, I sat there feeling very alone all
                of a sudden - minus my data-feed on the screen,
                my fix that could make an intercept a success or
                failure. But what the hell? - the surface charts,
                satellite and radar all showed thunderstorm cells
                scattered along an active surface trough
                coincident with an upper shortwave - why not just
                get out there and go and see!
 
 Leaving Machynlleth sometime before 0700 I made
                it a few miles down the valley before running
                into a deluge of Biblical proportions forcing a
                slowing to 10mph and peering into the rain and
                spray to see where I was heading. Occasional loud
                crackles on the radio coincided with stabbing
                lightning over the hills on the north side of the
                valley, while ahead a most unlikely thing
                appeared for the time of day - a traffic-jam.
 
 Glandyfi has one of the most beautiful views in
                Wales, looking across the Dyfi Estuary to the
                wooden railway bridge and the hills beyond, but
                also has one of the narrowest bendiest bits of
                any A-road in Wales. Here, large vehicles meeting
                often have to engage in tricky maneouveres in
                order to pass one another, and this was indeed
                the case now. We sat there as the rain turned
                heavier, then to hail, while odd flashes through
                the gloom were probably lightning but could have
                been anything in that level of visibility!
 
 Finally on the move, I negotiated roads awash
                from the downpour, to arrive on the sea-front at
                Borth at about 0730....
 
 
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 This is what you get by trying to photograph
                storm-clouds moving at 60mph before it has gotten
                light properly! This is a 20-second plus
                exposure. The brighter area is not due to
                lightning but to a small gap in the clouds i.e. a
                lighter area, blurred by the speed of the clouds'
                movement. I quite like the effect!
 
 With one huge towering storm to my east - where
                the sun rises - daylight would be late arriving
                today.....
 
 
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 By 0800 it was attempting to brighten a little
                and I could see that I was sat under a
                "shower-train" updraught area. By
                which, I mean that convection was going on
                overhead and was maturing (i.e. giving downpours)
                downwind and a little to my NE. Given that TORRO
                had a Tornado Watch out on parts of the western
                UK, it seemed worth staying put and scanning in
                case any spin-ups occurred in this cloud-bank,
                but none were forthcoming. Had they done I had
                travel options both N and S (storms moving SW-NE)
                so a sharp exit would have been easy if required.
                The photo above was taken at around 0830 looking
                out northwards to clearer skies.
 
 
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 The
                updraught base moved away NE and left a rather
                unexciting greyness in its wake. I was just about
                to decide to head home for breakfast when a small
                clearance in the grey stratus revealed much more
                to come, with towering cumulus and cumulonimbus
                strung along the horizon. I stayed put again.
                These cells duly arrived but were of little
                photogenic value as they approached. An evil dark
                grey wall of rain with occasional lightning
                flashes was the lot. But through a gap between
                cells and their rain I could see that conditions
                beyond were much clearer. This suggested finding
                a venue where the view downwind was unobscured by
                buildings etc - storms can look more amazing as
                they clear an area sometimes - so I headed off to
                Ynyslas sands, where there is an open view
                straight up the estuary, and waited...
 
 
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 First the clearance passed Aberdyfi, with a large
                anvil visible overhead....
 
 
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 Then the sun, still low in the East, started to
                back-light the flanking towers of the storm as
                they billowed up. I could have done with a 20mm
                lens here - it would have caught the whole thing
                nicely!
 
 
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 As the whole lot rolled on up the valley
                conditions began to brighten at ground level...
 
 
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 Retreating quickly away now, this is the last of
                the shots. Nothing that severe about these
                storms, I thought to myself, but it had been
                great to get out there on a madcap adventure -
                with an early start more reminiscent of an Alpine
                climb!
 
 Getting back to Machynlleth around 1000, I was
                greeted by two fire-engines heading up out of my
                street. The same cell had caused quite a bad
                flash-flood, requiring some hasty pumping-out
                work. Fortunately my place was unaffected. A look
                on the rainfall radar (below) indicates that with
                rainfall rates of >46mm/hour (lower red area),
                this was a cell more than capable of causing
                local problems with flooding.
 
 
  
 2 lots of
                storms in a week - and lots else in between - now
                that makes a change! With the remains of
                Hurricane Wilma affecting us this weekend, I
                wonder what more we can expect??
 
 
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