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 This
        used to confuse me greatly so I have spent a lot of time
        reading it up and thought I'd throw together this rough
        guide!
 
 We live at the bottom of a "soup" of gases,
        constantly moving in all directions - our atmosphere. The
        bit we see most of is the lowest part, where our weather
        goes on, but the weather-charts as seen on BBC forecasts
        show only what is happening close to the surface. The
        actual forecasts themselves are made with much reference
        to goings-on aloft, in what we call the upper air. So
        let's have a look at it:
 
 BASICS: THE TROPOSPHERE
 
 Virtually all of our tangible weather (excluding
        occasional, very high cirrus-clouds) goes on in the
        lowest major division of our atmosphere, the Troposphere.
        This varies in thickness from about 8000m over the poles
        to 17000m over the tropical seas - in other words, it's
        thinnest in cold areas and thickest in hot areas.
        Likewise it fluctuates in thickness on a seasonal basis
        according to whether it's warmer or colder. Above it lies
        the Stratosphere, while below it lies the surface of the
        Earth. The junction with the Stratosphere is known as the
        Tropopause.
 
 
 
            
                |  | The
                troposphere can be divided into two sections, the
                upper layer, known as the Free Atmosphere, and
                the lower, or Planetary Boundary Layer. The
                Boundary Layer usually runs up from the surface
                to about 1000m above it (sometimes more,
                sometimes less) but in any case it's a relatively
                thin layer in which the air movements and
                temperatures are influenced not only by major
                weather patterns but also by localised effects
                relating to the interaction of the air with the
                planet's surface. | These localised effects in the Boundary Layer include
        frictional drag as winds cross land areas, eddies and
        veering due to hills and headlands, convection initiated
        directly by heat radiation from sun-warmed ground,
        heat-radiation from warm sea water and so on. These
        factors are all forcing mechanisms that set air currents
        in motion, such as the thermals enjoyed by birds and
        glider-pilots alike.
 
 Above the Boundary Layer, winds are directed by the
        Coriolis Effect working in conjunction with
        pressure-gradients. The Coriolis Effect is the force
        exterted by the Earth's rotation, and in weather terms
        its importance is the effect it has on the atmosphere. In
        the Northern Hemisphere, it causes airmasses to be
        deflected to the right - the opposite happens in the
        Southern Hemisphere. Thus, in the Northern Hemisphere,
        warm and cool airmasses around a developing low-pressure
        centre start to circulate in an anticlockwise (cyclonic)
        direction. So the Coriolis Effect is what makes
        depressions rotate; on a larger scale it helps to
        maintain the prevailing west-to-east airflow around our
        hemisphere.
 
 In upper-air meteorology, pressure-patterns are as
        important as they are down here at the surface.
        Atmospheric pressure is simply an expression of the force
        applied by a column of air upon a fixed point of known
        area:
 
 p=F/A where p = pressure, F = force and A = area.
 
 Pressure used to be measured in millibars but the
        internationally accepted (SI) unit is the pascal (Pa).
        Meteorologists use the hectopascal (hPa) because the
        numbers are the same whether expressed in hectopascals or
        millibars. Makes life easier!
 
 The greater the altitude, the lower the atmospheric
        pressure, hence the rarified air encountered in high
        mountain ranges. In upper-air meteorology, goings-on
        aloft are observed with satellites and directly sampled
        by weather-balloons carrying measuring instruments. The
        results of the balloon ascents, called soundings, are
        plotted on charts at several pressure-levels:
 
 
 
            
                | Pressure
                Level (hPa) | Typical
                height (m) | Typical
                height (feet) |  
                | 925 | 900 | 2952 |  
                | 850 | 1500 | 4921 |  
                | 700 | 3000 | 9842 |  
                | 500 | 5750 | 18864 |  
                | 300 | 9500 | 31167 |  Pressure at any given height can change quite drastically
        as weather-systems move through. This goes on at the
        surface too. In the case of the UK, as an Atlantic
        low-pressure system is replaced by a large high-pressure
        area, the pressure over a few days at sea-level can
        change from maybe 970 hPa to 1030 hPa. The same applies
        aloft, but unlike surface charts, where the data are
        plotted in terms of pressure, the upper air data are
        plotted in terms of geopotential. Geopotential is the
        height above sea-level where the pressure is, say, 850,
        500 or 300 hPa, and is measured in Geopotential Metres
        (gpm or gpdm). In an area of high pressure (an
        anticlyclone) the 850hPa level will be at a higher
        altitude than in an area of low pressure, so that
        although a different method of measurement is being used
        in the upper air, the resulting charts will look just
        like the sea-level pressure charts in terms of
        distribution of high and low pressure systems. So they
        make it possible to examine forecast data for the upper
        troposphere as well as close to the surface.
 
 Finally, just as surface air has various physical
        properties (warm or cool, moist or dry etc), the
        properties of the upper air are important too. While
        convection - the vertical transport of heat and moisture
        - is obviously important to the storm-chaser working at
        the surface, the horizontal transport of upper air with
        certain proprties into an area is also of great
        importance. For example, storm formation in an unstable
        lower troposphere is markedly encouraged if cold dry air
        is present aloft. The process by which this cold, dry air
        moves horizontally into an area is known as cold air
        advection. Advection is simply the horizontal transport
        of air - and with that air comes a set of physical
        properties including temperature, moisture, stability and
        so on. The term will crop up in the text below quite a
        few times!
 
 
 
 WEATHER SYSTEMS ALOFT - THE POLAR FRONT AND THE JET
 
 The interaction of warm tropical air and cold polar air
        is what drives our mixed bag of weather all year round.
        It also, very importantly, plays a major role in
        maintaining out planet's heat balance. For a variety of
        reasons, the change in temperature with latitude is not
        even, but is instead rather sudden across the boundary
        between the tropical and polar air. This boundary,
        between the two contasting airmasses, is known as the
        Polar Front. It is the collision-zone where Atlantic
        depressions develop and their track is largely directed
        by its position. The steep pressure-gradients that occur
        aloft in association with this major, active air-boundary
        can result in narrow bands of very strong high-altitude
        winds, sometimes exceeding 200 miles per hour, especially
        just below the tropopause. These are known as jets or,
        specifically in association with the Polar Front, the
        Polar Jet.
 
 The jet is readily picked out on upper-air wind charts
        (below). This one is a GFS forecast chart for windspeeds
        and direction of flow at the 300 hPa pressure level, in
        other words at an altitude a little higher than the
        summit of Everest. Highest winds are red, weakest blue.
        The most obvious thing that immediately catches the
        attention is that the jet doesn't always run in a
        straight, west-east line, even though that's the
        prevailing wind direction in the Northern Hemisphere.
 
 
 
            
                |  | Instead,
                it curves north and south in a series of lobes,
                any one of which can half-cover the Atlantic.
                These large features, which are high-pressure
                ridges and low-pressure troughs, are known as
                Longwaves, of which there are several present at
                any given time along the Polar Front. High
                pressure is exerted by warm air masses, which
                expand in all directions as far as they can, so
                that beneath one the atmosphere is thicker. Warm
                air pushing north delineates the ridges. Cold
                air, by contrast, is nowhere near as thick, so
                that it exerts lower pressure, hence forming
                troughs where it pushes south. | Strong Longwave patterns are more prevalent in winter
        than in summer. This is because during the winter there
        is a much bigger temperature gradient between the warm
        Tropics and the frozen North.
 
 In addition, there are similar, but much smaller ridges
        and troughs, known as Shortwaves. These are less obvious
        on many charts but are important because they can still
        have significant effects on the weather at surface. As
        this chart shows, Longwaves are by contrast pretty hard
        to miss! But if you look carefully, there's a shortwave
        trough crossing the middle of Italy.
 
 
 
 HOW THE JET AFFECTS OUR WEATHER - POSITION, SHAPE,
        VORTICITY AND SHEAR
 
 
  
 Several factors are important with regard to the Polar
        Jet and its effect on our weather. Firstly there is its
        position relative to the UK. If it sits well to our
        north, we can expect mild and breezy weather, and
        occasional settled spells. The Atlantic Storms are
        passing by to our north, so they only clip us. However,
        if it runs straight across the UK we can expect
        depressions to run straight over us, with wet, stormy
        weather likely. If it sits to our south, depressions take
        a much more southerly course, bringing storms to
        Continental Europe, and, in winter, the risk of heavy
        snow for the southern UK as the prevailing winds
        associated with low pressure systems tracking to our
        south will be from the east.
 
 
 
  
 Secondly, there is the direction in which the jet flows.
        A standard E-W flow passing over the UK will be
        accompanied by a steady succession of frontal systems,
        rolling in from the west and passing away east into the
        North Sea. The resulting weather pattern will be one of
        frontal rainbands followed by convective showers,
        followed by a brief dry interlude as a transient ridge of
        high pressure moves through. Standard British weather in
        other words. This type of setup is known as
        "zonal".
 
 
  
 If the lobes (the ridges and troughs) are very large then
        there is a marked N-S looping within the generally
        westerly airflow. This can give fairly slow alternations
        between warm and cool conditions. But if a lobe grinds to
        a halt over one area, the whole thing slows up completely
        and the weather settles for a while into one form or
        another. This weather setup is known as
        "blocked". During some winters, a block forms
        in the Atlantic when high pressure extends all the way
        from the Azores up to Greenland. Provided the block is
        far enough west, it can induce a cold northerly flow over
        the UK if there is low pressure near Scandanavia, as
        shown in the simple diagram below. This weather setup can
        produce frequent snow-showers, and sometimes more
        widespread snow caused by the formation of Polar Lows,
        small depressions that develop within the cold air and
        move south over the UK.
 
 
  
 Blocks in the wrong place, however, can lead to days of
        dismal grey weather with nothing much of interest going
        on!!
 
 
 Then there is vorticity advection. The jet flowing around
        a lobe of cold polar air (an upper trough) orientated
        NE-SW, first runs SW, then S, then SE, then E, then NE -
        i.e. its motion is anticlockwise, or cyclonic. Watch a
        floating twig in a slow-moving river. As it turns a LH
        bend it will slowly spin in an anticlockwise direction.
        It's spinning because the water upon which it floats is
        spinning. You can't necessarily see the water doing this
        but the floating twig gives the game away! Vorticity is a
        measure of the amount of rotation (i.e. the intensity of
        the "spin") at a given point in a fluid or gas.
        And, in the air rounding an upper trough, anticlockwise
        vorticity is induced. This is known as Cyclonic Vorticity
        (or frequently as Positive Vorticity).
 
 Positive vorticity encourages air at lower levels to rise
        (which is what happens in cyclones after all). Rising air
        encourages deepening of low-pressure systems, assists
        convection and thus generally leads to heavier
        precipitation. Thus, as an upper trough moves into an
        area, what is going on is the transport (advection) of
        air with positive vorticity. The process, positive
        vorticity advection, is usually abbreviated to PVA. When
        forecasting, look on the upper air charts (300 & 500
        hPa) for the approach of an upper trough. PVA will be at
        its most intense just ahead of the trough, so that's
        where the most interesting weather will be!
 
 
 
            
                |  | The
                reverse, anticyclonic or negative vorticity
                advection (NVA) will occur between the crest of
                an upper ridge and the back of the trough, due to
                the same process but with a clockwise
                (anticyclonic) spinning motion induced into the
                air as it runs up around the ridge. In such areas
                air is descending instead of ascending. Descent
                is very adept at killing off convection. Thus as
                the upper trough passes, severe weather becomes
                increasingly unlikely to occur. The timing of
                upper troughs and ridges is thus of considerable
                importance in severe weather forecasting. All
                other parameters may be in place for a big summer
                thunderstorm, but then along comes an upper ridge
                at the best time of day for storm formation and
                the whole thing fizzles out! 
 | Vorticity is affected by other factors too. Shear is
        important. It's caused by winds of different speeds
        running side-by-side. Air in an environment with stronger
        winds to the south and weaker ones to the north will be
        given enhanced cyclonic spin. Since windspeeds for
        different pressure levels are available via sites such as
        Wetterzentrale, this can be factored into
        a forecast.
 
 Shear in which windspeed increases occur with height
        (speed-shear) may also be estimated from the charts. Some
        speed-shear is pretty much normal as you will notice when
        climbing a mountain. A breeze at the bottom can be a
        near-gale at summit-level. There's less surface friction
        up there which is one factor. But in the upper
        troposphere the proximity of the jet can bump the
        windspeed up massively. Speed-shear is important in
        convective situations as it literally whisks away the
        "exhaust" of a storm, thus helping to prolong
        it. It's a bit like an open fire drawing well. Strong
        speed-shear occurs when the jet is racing overhead. In
        this environment, cumulonimbus anvils may stretch for
        many miles downstream due to the icy cirrus of the anvil
        being dragged downwind. When there's hardly any
        speed-shear the storm-tops have a much more symmetrical
        shape to them.
 
 Directional shear in the upper atmosphere basically means
        that up there the winds are blowing in a different
        direction to what they are at the surface. This can be of
        importance in severe storm development, including the
        formation of tornadic supercells.
 
 DIFFLUENCE AND CONFLUENCE
 
 Both troughs and ridges can be either diffluent or
        confluent. These terms deal with the way the air flows
        into, and out of, these features. Diffluence (or
        divergence) involves the air moving rapidly into a ridge
        or trough but slowing down upon leaving it. In the case
        of troughs, diffluence permits the conditions ripe for
        intense cyclonogenesis. Confluent troughs are those in
        which the air leaving the trough area is faster-moving
        than that entering it, and these tend to have stable,
        anticyclonic weather in their wake. These features can be
        picked up using upper-air windspeed charts.
 
 JET STREAKS, THEIR ENTRANCES AND EXITS
 
 Within the overall circumglobal wind-field of the
        jetstream, there occur local bands with much stronger
        winds than elsewhere. These are called jet streaks (and
        sometimes one may be referred to as a jet max). They form
        in response to localised but major temperature-gradients,
        and consist of narrow zones in which the
        pressure-gradient is especially steep as a consequence,
        shown on pressure charts by the isobars being very close
        together. They move along the lobes, following the
        troughs and ridges, and affect these in their passing,
        strengthening them as they move in and weakening them as
        they move out. They also influence the weather below even
        if moving in a fairly straight line when there are few
        longwave ridges/troughs about.
 
 
  
 
 Fast jet streaks with winds as high as 200 knots pull in
        air upstream (to their west) at what is called an
        Entrance Region and throw it out downstream (to their
        east) at what is called an Exit Region. These are further
        subdivided, as in the diagram above, into Left (to the
        north) and Right (to the south). A mass of air heading
        into a jet streak's Entrance region is accelerated by the
        force of the pressure-gradient operating to its left.
        During this process there exists an imbalance of the two
        forces controlling the situation - the pressure-gradient
        force to the north and the Coriolis force to the south.
        The pressure-gradient force is the more powerful of the
        two in this area. It forces the air to be pulled to the
        left (northwards), a bit like you might expect a car to
        constantly veer left if the front passenger-side tyre's a
        bit flat and all other tyres are at the correct pressure.
 
 In the Exit region, the air is leaving the jetstreak and
        entering an area with a more relaxed pressure-gradient.
        It slows down, but in the opposite scenario to the
        process going on in the Entrance region it is in this
        case made to veer to the right (southwards) because the
        Coriolis force is the stronger one here.
 
 With such narrow zones of high winds, considerable shear
        occurs resulting in induced vorticity of both positive
        and negative types. These are distributed differently on
        the north and south sides due to the following reason:
        within a jet streak an air parcel will flow parallel to
        the isobars but in its entrance and exit regions it
        instead flows across them - due to the deflection process
        explained above. This can cause either convergence or
        divergence. This is shown in the diagram below, in which
        the red arrows show the prevailing airflow direction, the
        black lines are the tightening isobars within the jet
        streak and the blue arrows show the manner in which the
        air entering or leaving a jet streak is deflected due to
        the pressure gradient force (Entrance region) or the
        Coriolis Force (Exit region).
 
 
  
 Convergence involves winds from different directions
        coming together in a given area. Divergence involves
        winds from a given area spreading out from that point
        because they are blowing in different directions. In the
        western, Entrance region of a jet streak, this results in
        convergence within its northern (left) part and
        divergence within its southern (right) part.
 
 Positive vorticity (as described above) is associated
        with divergence, so not surprisingly the Right Entrance
        region is a likely area for PVA to be present,
        encouraging convection and cyclonic development below.
        With the Exit region the opposite is the case, in that
        the Left Exit region is where any PVA will be found and
        the Right Exit region is one of NVA, implying descent and
        uneventful conditions. Jet streak Left Exits are
        essentially at the leading edge of a jet streak, so they
        arrive on the scene first, causing surface weather-fronts
        to become active as they over-run them, or allowing
        convective storms to develop vigorously. This occurs
        because as the air in the Left Exit diverges (moves
        apart), something has to replace it, so new air rises
        from below in order to achieve this: in turn, lower-level
        air converges (comes together) to replace that and a
        deepening low-pressure system, or intense convection,
        results.
 
 
  
 Let's have another look at that upper-air (300 hPa)
        wind-chart. We now know that for cyclonic or convective
        weather to be supported, we need to look for the area
        ahead of an upper Longwave Trough axis, for smaller
        Shortwave Troughs and for Left Exit and Right Entrance
        regions of a jet-streak. These are all nicely shown on
        this chart. It would suggest unsettled conditions to be
        most encouraged in the following areas:
 
 a) southern of Greenland (Left Exit of jet streak/ahead
        of Longwave Trough axis)
 b) to the SW of Portugal (PVA ahead of Longwave Trough
        plus cold air aloft in upper vortex)
 c) the S of the UK (PVA ahead of approaching, diffluent
        Longwave Trough axis)
 d) the S of Italy and the sea to the SE (PVA ahead of
        Shortwave Trough)
 
 The weather that day showed this to be not far off the
        case. An active low-pressure system was present over the
        S of Greenland. High pressure in the mid-Atlantic gave
        way to slack low pressure essentially following the upper
        trough. Flabby, slack highish pressure sat over most of
        continental Europe. An active cold front brought some
        squally rain to England and Wales, while thunderstorms
        broke out widely in the Atlantic to the W and S of
        Portugal and another thundery area developed over S Italy
        and Sicily and moved east. All of these events were
        supported by what went on aloft, so in conclusion, it's
        well worth learning to understand these initially
        confounding plots of what's going on way up in the
        Troposphere!
 
 
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